The timing of the peak incidence of coronavirus in Russia has been announced
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Immunologist Kryuchkov said that the peak incidence of coronavirus in Russia will be in December
According to immunologist Nikolai Kryuchkov, the incidence of coronavirus in Russia may begin to rise in November and reach a peak in December. He predicts that there will be a decline then, but another sharp increase can be expected in February, the scale of which is currently impossible to predict. Kryuchkov notes that seasonality and the variant of the omicron strain of coronavirus “Pyrola” will be important factors, especially in combination with a low level of collective immunity. Writes about this Ribbon. RU.
After reaching a peak in December, the incidence, according to the immunologist, will decrease until January 10-15, but then a new rise is possible, the scale of which is unclear. Kryuchkov believes that the peak of the next rise will occur in February-March next year.
However, based on current information, Kryuchkov believes that the actual surge in cases will be much smaller than in past waves of omicron, unless a particularly pathogenic variant spreads. He notes that not everything is clear with Pirola, but apparently there should not be significant differences in pathogenicity and lethality. However, the immunologist emphasizes that the evolution of the virus is ongoing and unpredictable, and more pathogenic and lethal variants may emerge next season.
Previously, a study published in the journal JAMA Network Open indicated the possibility of autoimmune diseases after
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