The government hands over road maps – Newspaper Kommersant No. 11 (7456) dated 01/23/2023
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The White House has refused to build a number of highways until 2027. After reviewing the revised plan, Kommersant discovered that the government had reduced the previously planned funding for the Meridian highway, Orekhovo-Zuyevo and Krasnodar bypasses – money would only be given for their design. The reconstruction of sections M-1 and M-3 in the Moscow region has been postponed to a later date. Work to eliminate “bottlenecks” on the highways of “Avtodor” in the capital region was completely excluded from the document. The adjustments were made taking into account budget cuts, the Ministry of Transport explained to Kommersant: the construction projects that have already begun will be completed, new ones will not start yet, with the exception of bypasses of individual cities.
The road activity plan for 2023–2027 (which is a list of the most important construction projects on federal and regional roads for the economy) was approved in June 2022. On December 30, the government published a decree on its adjustment, and on December 31, the White House press service announced that the document had been expanded while maintaining the total level of funding at 13.2 trillion rubles. Kommersant, comparing the versions of the plan, drew attention to the fact that some of the construction projects were postponed to a later date, some were left without funding.
If earlier, for example, the authorities intended to start allocating money in 2025 for the construction of the Orekhovo-Zuyevo bypass in the Moscow region, now we are talking only about its design, which will begin no earlier than 2026: funding has been reduced from 20.5 billion to 1, 5 billion rubles A similar fate befell the southern bypass of Krasnodar, whose funding was reduced from 28.9 billion to 1.5 billion rubles. The prospects for the appearance of the second ring road around St. Petersburg (KAD-2) are also vague: the design has been postponed from 2025 to 2027. Work on the future Meridian highway (from the border of Kazakhstan to Belarus) and the South-Western Chord (Yekaterinburg-Samara-Krasnodar) was also limited to design, and funds will be allocated not 15.3 billion rubles, as expected, but 4 billion rubles. Work to eliminate “bottlenecks” on the main highways of “Avtodor” of the capital region is completely excluded from the plan.
Some of the work has been postponed to a later date. For example, money for the reconstruction of the 66-84th kilometer section of M-1 Belarus (from Kubinka to the turn to Ruza) will begin to be allocated not in 2023, but in 2025. The allocation of funds for the reconstruction of the M-3 “Ukraine” section of the 65-124th kilometer (from the village of Kyiv to Maloyaroslavets) is planned in 2024, and not in 2023. Here, Avtodor is already preparing the territory: cutting down the forest and equipping the power supply under previously concluded contracts.
It is noteworthy that the new plan provides the full estimated cost of the facilities (taking into account the work that was carried out before 2023, as well as those planned after 2027). For example, the price of the M-12 highway is now 901 billion rubles, which is 100 billion rubles more expensive. estimate, which was published by Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin in April 2022. 223 billion instead of 277.3 billion rubles are allocated for the M-12 Dertyuli-Achit section in 2023-2027. Also, 3.8 billion rubles have now been allocated in the five-year plan. for scientific research and digitalization and 76.5 billion rubles. for the maintenance of the central office of Rosavtodor and its branches in the regions.
However, some objects received additional preferences. For example, 70 billion rubles are now allocated for the construction of the Adler bypass. instead of 50 billion; construction of the road will begin in 2025 and will be completed in 2026. Added detours for Khasavyurt and Derbent. 23.9 billion and 51.2 billion rubles are allocated for them. respectively. Among the objects near Moscow, a new road Psarevo-Petrovo appeared for 5.2 billion rubles, for travel to the Stupino Quadrat special economic zone.
The total amount of funds that are planned to be attracted to the regions for the construction of road facilities from non-budgetary sources has been increased from 145.5 billion to 247.7 billion rubles. Most of the current road construction projects in the central region have been preserved: the reconstruction of M-8 after Pushkino, the construction of bypasses for the settlements of Oktyabrsky, Ulyanino, Nepetsino on M-5, the reconstruction of Rublevo-Uspenskoye Highway. “Avtodor” will be allowed to complete the interchange at Malyye Vyazem on the Central Ring Road. Work on the M-4 will not stop either: Avtodor is already completing the Aksai bypass and promises to launch it in the summer of 2023.
The five-year plan has been updated taking into account the prioritization of objects on the basis of the adopted budget law, the Ministry of Transport explained to Kommersant: “The main task was to continue the measures already being implemented.” As for the M-12, now the plan indicates its “actual” cost, taking into account the “comprehensive rise in the cost of construction resources” and the attraction of an additional 150 billion rubles. from the FNB, explained in the department. The price of the Dertyuli-Achit road decreased as a result of “optimization” following the results of the project development. The department explains the growth of off-budget injections into the regions by “refinement of the financing structure and financial model of facilities, the implementation of which is provided for under concession agreements.” As for the new facilities, the Ministry of Transport explained that the Derbent and Khasavyurt bypasses, in particular, are part of the North-South international transport corridor: it is needed to develop the transport accessibility of “transport and logistics centers” in this direction.
The Ministry of Transport made a decision against the backdrop of reformatting the entire economy, Andrey Mukhortikov, a member of the public council under the Ministry of Transport of the Moscow Region, commented on the document: “difficult” years are ahead, the Russian budget will no longer have super profits. “We decided to concentrate the money on those facilities that will give the greatest transport and economic effect,” he says. “I hope that the development of the economy will allow many objects to be returned to the plan by the end of the year.” The initial plan was drawn up based on the financial orientation of the Ministry of Finance, and now, when the budget has been reduced, some objects are being abandoned, explains Mikhail Blinkin, scientific director of the Institute for Transport Economics and Transport Policy at the Higher School of Economics. “For each object, in particular bypassing cities, as a rule, there is intense bargaining,” the expert notes. “Regions are asked to keep roads, they turn to top management, this is an extremely politicized process. There is no such mayor or governor who would not promise residents a bypass for the elections.”
As for the rate of the Ministry of Transport on regional concessions, Mikhail Blinkin believes that the arrival of business under the current conditions is unlikely, except in situations where some large company is interested in building the road, ready to participate in financing. Finding an investor for a large project is easier, adds Andrei Mironov, senior lawyer at the National PPP Center. “Regional players interested in the implementation of concession projects are unevenly distributed throughout the country,” he notes. “The attractiveness also partly depends on the geography of the project. In some regions, an obstacle to the implementation of small projects in large quantities is the lack of necessary competencies.”
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