Armed Forces of Ukraine will change failed tactics, introduce reserves, get British missiles

Scout Matviychuk called Crimea the main goal of the Ukrainian “offensive”

The situation on the Zaporozhye front, where heavy fighting has been going on for almost a week, may change in the coming days. The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine can work on the mistakes and change its failed offensive tactics. Military experts note that the changes can be very different – from a change in the direction of the main attack to the introduction of its main force – a 65,000-strong reserve.

According to a military expert, retired colonel Anatoly Matviychuk, a former intelligence officer, the enemy is unlikely to give up such a tempting idea – a campaign against the Crimea through Melitopol. However, changes, indeed, may come in the near future.

Despite the complete failure of the first phase of the offensive in the Zaporozhye direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are unlikely to retreat from their plans and curtail the unsuccessful operation. So far, experts say, the enemy continues to look for a gap in our defense, trying to break into the first echelons. At the same time, he does it stubbornly, putting pressure on the same sections of the front.

However, the situation may change in the near future. There is reason to believe that the Ukrainian command will conduct an in-depth analysis of the bad experience (the Armed Forces of Ukraine in all areas of the offensive lose up to a thousand people and dozens of pieces of equipment per day) in the Zaporozhye direction and amend the operation.

“Perhaps, reserves will be brought into battle, tactics will change, or a new section of the front will be activated,” analysts of the Military Chronicles channel write. In their opinion, the active phase can last up to 15 days.

According to military expert Anatoly Matviychuk, the Zaporozhye region is the most convenient for the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the campaign that they announced – in the campaign against the Crimea.

– This is the shortest direction, which should ensure the fulfillment of the task that they have set for themselves. Or rather – which the United States put before the Armed Forces of Ukraine. We have data that the Armed Forces of Ukraine now have approximately 60 thousand in the Zaporozhye direction, and some argue that all 65 thousand. But so far they have not succeeded – they have been trying to break through our defenses for several days and at the same time they are suffering huge losses in equipment and weapons. I think they won’t let up until they’ve suffered enough losses to make them abandon their idea.

The military expert recalled that the entire “palette” of NATO weapons transferred to Ukraine has not yet been presented at the Zaporozhye Front. Therefore, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will not only not leave the Zaporozhye Front, but will also strengthen their actions:

– We have not yet seen the Armed Forces of Ukraine actively using new tanks (with the exception of those that were knocked out in the first days of the offensive), heavy artillery in the form of Storm Shadow missiles. I think that the Zaporozhye direction will remain the main one for them for now, and they will try to break through the front here, taking advantage of the fact that we are dealing with the elimination of the consequences of the catastrophe near Kherson. But according to my estimates, they will not succeed, because in order to break through the Zaporozhye front, you need to have absolute air superiority. And they don’t have it. On the contrary, we inflict the lion’s share of defeat on the enemy precisely with our Aerospace Forces.

Recall that the Russian defensive line consists of dozens of lines and is echeloned to a depth of 30 kilometers. At the same time, it is covered by engineering barriers, and itself is located along the dominant heights and ridges.

Moreover, the enemy cannot approach the first line of defense due to the generously laid mines, as well as the activity of our artillery, and air superiority.

“The situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine is also aggravated by the fact that the Ukrainian military (for example, the 31st separate mechanized brigade), who are ambushed or under fire from artillery, requesting help through available communication channels, rush to the battlefield and actively surrender, which demotivates reserves and negatively affects the effectiveness of the offensive, ”conclude the experts of the Wartime.