Putin made a new start: what will be the meaning of the next presidency of GDP

Expected sensation. A sensation that came as no surprise to anyone. A sensation that confirmed all strategic plans and calculations. This is how one can describe the meaning of what happened this Friday – Vladimir Putin’s announcement of his intention to run for president of Russia for a new six-year term.

The surroundings against which Putin made his fateful statement did not come as a surprise. The key concepts of the first years of GDP’s stay in power were such slogans as “doubling GDP” (not Putin, of course, but the gross domestic product) and “rising from our knees.” The key concept of the current political and historical moment consists of three letters – SVO.

I have no doubt that in March 2024, Russian voters will once again place their trust in Vladimir Putin and re-elect him as President of the Russian Federation with an overwhelming majority of votes. But what kind of country’s president he will be is still a big question. And the answer to this question directly depends on the progress and outcome of the special military operation.

Putin’s announcement of his presidential nomination came against the backdrop of more than favorable news from Kyiv and Western capitals. Zelensky’s vaunted counter-offensive is almost officially recognized as a failure and a strategic disaster.

Reflections on the topic “Isn’t Putin winning in Ukraine?” have become commonplace in Western political analytics. And Kyiv analysts are perplexed: why did “friendly” Poland impose a strict economic blockade on “friendly” Ukraine and thus now actually play in conjunction with Moscow?

The very fact that Russia is holding presidential elections is a powerful contrast. “A staunch advocate of democracy,” Vladimir Zelensky, canceled the elections in Ukraine and plans to remain on the Kiev throne as an expired president. But in Putin’s Russia everything is clear and on schedule: elections are scheduled, elections will be held.

However, it’s not for nothing that they say: all’s well that ends well. The key fact of our reality is that the NWO is not over yet and that no one yet knows when it will end (or, let me put it more carefully, just in case, almost no one).

In an ideal (from Russia’s point of view, of course) scenario, the presidential elections in the Russian Federation should take place in the era that will begin after the successful completion of the special operation for our country.

But we can only hope for the ideal option. You can’t count on him.

Why does Putin remain in power for another term? What motivates him? What makes him reproduce again and again that political scenario in which “we (and, first of all, himself) can only dream of peace?”

Knowing well those who know the president well, I answer this question this way: because Putin is confident that the conditions in which Russia will have to survive, fight and develop in the coming years will not be ideal at all.

Let’s remember the beginning of 2020 – the moment when, during the constitutional reform, GDP received the opportunity, if desired, to run for president for a new term. The Kremlin then immediately formulated: whether Putin has such a desire will directly depend on the degree of complexity of the international situation.

What happened next is known to everyone: Moscow itself played for the aggravation – but in no case for the sake of aggravation itself.

The famous Belarusian writer of the twentieth century, Yakub Kolas, once said: “The meaning of our life is continuous movement.” An even more radical version of this very thought is also known. Anton Makarenko, “Pedagogical Poem”: “The form of existence of a free human collective is moving forward, the form of death is stopping.”

Let’s not pay attention to outdated vocabulary. Let’s focus on the main thing. At some point in his current presidency, Putin came to the difficult conclusion that if Russia did not adopt an offensive foreign policy, if it did not move forward, it would actually begin to move backward.

The West’s calculations were based on the fact that Moscow’s verbal protests against NATO expansion would remain verbal. And on the fact that, choosing between risk and comfort, Russia will always choose comfort.

But Putin ruined all these calculations. The chain of conclusions of GDP looked, in my estimation, something like this: if Russia delays a little longer, then the window of opportunity – the chance to stall NATO expansion – will cease to exist. Ukraine will dissolve within the North Atlantic Alliance. And in this case, Moscow will no longer have political instruments capable of changing anything.

We must act immediately – or never. As we now know, the “never” option was rejected.

One of the past leaders of our country, Peter I, dragged Russia by the scruff of the neck into one of the leading powers of the world, “cutting a window to Europe.” Last month, Putin spoke about this most notorious “window” this way: “When it’s blowing, you think maybe you should close it so as not to catch a cold.”

But the political vectors of movement of Vladimir Vladimirovich and Pyotr Alekseevich only seem to be in different directions. Putin in 2023 has the same goal that Peter I had in 1723: Russia should be a great, powerful and independent country. Dot. And this is not pathos and pathos. In Putin’s eyes, this is an extremely specific statement of his political program, his goal setting.

Three hundred years ago, the greatness of Russia required rapprochement and integration with Europe. Now the time has come for a geopolitical reconfiguration, part of which is some distance between Russia and the West.

Just days before his presidential nomination, Putin made a blitz visit to the UAE and Saudi Arabia. Is there anyone who thinks this is an accident? There are no such accidents. This is symbolism of pure water.

The UAE and Saudi Arabia are examples of, albeit connected to the West, but at the same time independent centers of power. And how did these centers of power accept Putin, a leader whom the US and EU are trying to turn into a global pariah? Known as: with a huge Russian flag in the sky of Abu Dhabi.

The meaning of the political signal sent to GDP by the very fact of such a visit is obvious: while leaving the “political perimeter” of the Collective West, Russia is not leaving the developed and modern part of the world.

But such a reconfiguration is not achieved by strong political signals alone – it is not achieved even by winning the NWO alone.

Changing the direction of such a huge colossus as Russia takes time – for example, the six years that Putin will certainly get if he wins the presidential election. This is the secret of why Putin again decided to renew the “labor contract” for the position of “galley slave.”

The current and future president of Russia is not ready to “give up the oars.” He still has a long way to go through very turbulent and even stormy waters – and we all have to swim with him.