Alesin appreciated the possibility of an attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus
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Belarusian expert on defense and military-industrial complex Alexander Alesin, commenting on the report that Alexander Lukashenko will discuss security issues with Russian President Vladimir Putin on February 17, assessed the possibility of a new attack on Ukraine from the territory of Belarus.
“If it is necessary to “wash out” Ukrainian reserves, an operation can be launched from the territory of Belarus,” Alesin said in a statement. interview NSN.
According to him, there is now a contingent of Russian troops in Belarus up to eleven thousand people, but it is not enough for offensive operations.
“For this, the Russians will need to transfer additional troops, 40-50 thousand people,” the expert suggested.
He added that it takes time and rolling stock. In addition, according to Alesin, the regrouping will be detected by US reconnaissance satellites.
The expert also suggested that at the meeting between Putin and Lukashenko, the issue of military-technical cooperation, and in particular the production in Russia of certain types of Belarusian weapons, for example, the Polonaise MLRS, strike and reconnaissance drones, could be discussed.
At the same time, Alesin believes that the direct participation of Belarus in the special operation is currently excluded, since for this Minsk will need to double or triple its army and spend billions of dollars.
“If there is such a plan, it will take two or three months,” the expert summed up.
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