the four challenges of Emmanuel Macron’s return to school
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He called on the French to “to accept to pay the price of freedom”. Friday August 19, in Bormes-les-Mimosas (Var), Emmanuel Macron set the tone : economic and social issues will occupy the political agenda in the autumn, against a backdrop of persistent inflation and the repercussions of the conflict in Ukraine. “Between the uncertainties on the issue of purchasing power and growth, and the reforms to be implemented in the absence of a majority in Parliament, the start of the new school year will not be easy for the government”summarizes Philippe Martin, the deputy chairman of the Economic Analysis Council, a think tank attached to Matignon.
Autumn must also mark the real kick-off of Emmanuel Macron’s second five-year term. Here again, the coming months will be decisive. Will the executive manage to pass the reforms supposed to achieve the two main economic policy objectives promised by the Head of State for 2027: full employment and a public deficit reduced to less than 3%? gross domestic product (GDP)? “We can move towards full employment, but we must continue to carry out the essential reforms”he recalled in his July 14 interview.
Among these, the reform of unemployment insurance, intended both to make budgetary savings and to encourage a return to work, plans to modulate the allowances of the persons concerned according to the health of the economy. , without the precise criteria being known yet. A principle that annoys the unions. The pension reform, still scheduled to come into force in the summer of 2023, also promises heated debates, while that of the active solidarity income (RSA) must be tested in several departments. While the opposition intends to be heard, the next few weeks promise to be strewn with pitfalls for the president and his team, whom he was to bring together for a first council of ministers, Wednesday August 24.
The trap of soaring prices
It was at the center of the first parliamentary texts of the summer: soaring prices, in particular food and energy, will continue to put the executive under pressure. The more than 20 billion euros of measures voted – not without difficulty – this summer to support purchasing power (fuel discount, back-to-school bonus, revaluation of social minima, tariff shield on gas and electricity, increase in tax exemption ceiling for overtime…) will they be enough to calm the concerns of the French? Nothing is less sure. While prices at the pump are down, inflation exceeded 6% in July.
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