Rent stops by the summer – Kommersant

In May, the traditional seasonal lull began in the long-term rental market of the largest cities, in which average apartment prices slightly decreased. Although consultants call the overall dynamics of demand quite good: despite the remaining excess supply, the activity of tenants is now higher than last year. Experts do not expect a noticeable change in the situation in the coming months, counting on a seasonal recovery in demand only in July. Then the average cost of housing may begin to grow due to the washing out of low-budget offers.

The average cost of renting one-room apartments in 18 largest regional markets of Russia (16 million-plus cities, Moscow and Leningrad regions) in May amounted to 21.3 thousand rubles, two-room apartments – 31.4 thousand rubles. Compared to the previous month, these values ​​decreased by 0.5% and 0.9%, respectively, according to CIAN.Analytics data. The minimum growth of rates in April was again replaced by their slight decrease, experts state. According to the “Etazhy” data, renting a “odnushka” in 16 largest cities now costs 21 thousand rubles, “kopeck pieces” – 26 thousand rubles. For a month, these values ​​have not changed.

The most pronounced increase in prices for renting one-room apartments, according to CIAN.Analytics, over the past month occurred in Krasnodar, where the average rate increased by 5%, to 22 thousand rubles.

In Samara, the same dynamics amounted to 4%, up to 18.8 thousand rubles. The Floors data indicate an increase in the cost of an average one-room apartment in Yekaterinburg by 4% compared to April, to 24.9 thousand rubles. per month. At the same time, analysts in Voronezh noted a decrease of 1.7% per month, to 19.6 thousand rubles. CIAN.Analytics experts noted a 7% reduction in the average rate in Volgograd, to 15,000 rubles. per month.

In Moscow, according to CIAN.Analytics, the average cost of renting a one-room apartment is now 42.9 thousand rubles. per month, two-room – 72.3 thousand rubles. Over the month, both of these values ​​increased by 1%, and over the year they decreased by 3%.

Oksana Polyakova, deputy director of the rental department at Inkom-Nedvizhimost, notes that housing in the Central Administrative District is traditionally the most expensive, where the average cost of renting a one-room apartment is 56 thousand rubles. per month. The lowest figure in the Eastern Administrative District is 33.7 thousand rubles. “The interest of tenants in the mass market is focused on economy-class properties, and supply exceeds demand by three times: the owners of rented apartments are forced to make concessions in the competition,” argues Ms. Polyakova. Apple Real Estate’s head of leasing Vladimir Rodionov points out that the cost of high-budget rentals in Moscow is stable. Although the volume of supply, according to the observations of Vladimir Rodionov, is growing faster than demand.

Alexey Popov, head of CIAN.Analytics, notes that over the past four weeks, in general, potential demand metrics have decreased by 12% compared to the previous ones. “This fits into the standard seasonal trends and is associated with a long May weekend,” he notes. The volume of supply in May, according to the expert, turned out to be 8% less than in April: 43 thousand ads are available to users. May is usually weaker than other spring months in terms of demand, notes Olga Pavlinova, head of the Floors rental department.

Although Ms. Pavlinova states that the activity of tenants is now 10-15% higher than in the same period last year, many of them are not ready to pay more for objects. Konstantin Kamenev, head of the long-term rental category at Avito Nedvizhimost, points out that the demand for rental apartments in Russia as a whole is 12.8% higher than last year. The most pronounced positive dynamics, according to the expert, is observed in Tomsk, Tyumen and Kazan. User activity decreased most noticeably in Stavropol, Sevastopol, Kirov and Saratov.

Oksana Polyakova recalls that summer is traditionally a very calm period in the long-term rental housing market. The expert does not expect significant fluctuations in demand and prices for apartments. An increase in activity, according to her forecasts, can begin only in late July or early August, before the start of the high autumn season. Also counting on the revival of demand in July, Ms. Pavlinova assumes that in the autumn in some cities there will be a seasonal increase in rates by 5-10%. This dynamics is traditionally explained by a change in the supply structure, when the most budget options are washed out of the market. Alexey Popov maintains his forecast for modest growth in rental rates in the short term, guided by the recovery in the markets of Moscow and St. Petersburg.

Alexandra Mertsalova